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Posts Tagged ‘Ron’

NFL Playoff Picks: Conference Championship

Friday, January 22nd, 2010

By Ron Jumper

I feel like you have been beaten over the head enough with these games, I really just don’t feel the need to rehash everything you have been hearing on the radio, reading online, or watching on tv. Yes, this is going to be an interesting Super Bowl no matter who wins. If it is Vikings-Jets, we have Favre going against his old team. Either Manning-Favre or Manning-Brees would be one of the best Super Bowl QB matchups of all time. Although, while others disagree, I really wouldn’t be all that excited about Jets-Saints. Yes, the Jets are a nice underdog story and it is good for New Orleans after Katrina and all, but I don’t think it would make for as exciting a game to watch (kind of like when they played in the regular season and the Saints rolled). Anyways, on to my picks!

Colts (-7.5) cover vs. Jets
Again, I don’t feel the need to ramble on 500 words about how good the Colts are playing and that they have that guy named Manning. I will say that the Colts defense has been better then they have gotten credit for, as they looked great against Baltimore last week. As for the Jets, plenty of people are on the bandwagon but do you really see any way that Mark Sanchez will be able to generate enough offense to stay with the Colts? There is no way Indy only scores 14. NO WAY! I love the Jets defense and how aggressive they are with all the exotic blitzes and so on, however, this is Peyton Manning. He will dial up the right audibles at the right time and I’m expecting a big game from Dallas Clark because of this. While Revis is quickly climbing into the “guy who truly was underrated that began getting talked about so much about how underrated he was that he accidentally became overrated” category (see: Ben Wallace, Shawn Marion, and soon-to-be member Kyle Orton), he will limit the targets of Wayne. This means Clark has to have a big game and it also means either Garcon or Collie has to make at least one big play down the field.

Saints (-3.5) covers vs. Vikings
I just have this feeling that the Saints are ready for the Vikings, especially at home. While everyone wants to examine the matchup at QB, look at the Vikings record on the road: 4-4. However, that doesn’t even tell the whole story, since three of those road wins came against Cleveland, Detroit, and St. Louis. That means they are 1-4 away from home against teams with over 5 wins! Now they are supposed to go into the Superdome and beat the Saints? No thanks, I’ll pass. Speaking of passing, the one real chink in the Vikings armor is their pass defense and, in case you haven’t been paying attention, the Saints have a pretty solid passing attack. Throw in that the Vikings have some injury concerns and I feel pretty good about New Orleans here.

Daily Dose of Hoops: January 18-24

Monday, January 18th, 2010

By Ron Jumper

Saturday January 23, 2010:
Villanova -6
Detroit -1
Western Carolina +1
Wake Forest -6.5
Rhode Island +6.5
Florida International +1
Arkansas State +3.5

*****

Wednesday January 20, 2010:
Last night, I cashed in on Wichita State -3 over Northern Iowa, as the Shockers improved to 12-0 on the season. While the Panthers are a very good team that can win in March, Wichita State is certainly a team worth keeping your eye on. For tonight, I’ve got a nice 4-pack of college hoops. Enjoy!

College Basketball Record:
54-48-4 ATS

Western Carolina (+3.5) covers vs. Davidson
This is not the Davidson you think, Stephen Curry is long gone. The Catamounts are 14-3, while the Wildcats are just 8-10. For some reason, WC is the dog in this one. That is a mistake, as they should win outright.

James Madison (+8.5) covers vs. Drexel
These are two evenly matched teams and their records suggest that, as they both hover around .500 overall. The Dukes have been more competitive than their record shows, hanging in most games down to the wire. I expect them to hang around and have a chance to win at the end tonight.

UMass (-2.5) covers vs. St. Bonaventure
For me, this one is simple. The Minutemen are 5-1 at home and the Bonnies (you can’t help but laugh at the mascot name Bonnies…) are 0-6 on the road.

Illinois State (-6.5) covers vs. Creighton
The Blue Jays are another program that isn’t quite the same as it used to be, as they are not accustomed to hovering around .500 overall. Part of their problem has been horrific play on the road, Illinois State is a very good MVC club led by Osiris Eldridge and he will lead an aggressive Redbird attack.

*****

Tuesday January 19, 2010:
For tonight, there is a great game to watch on ESPNU at 9:05 ET. If you consider yourself to be a basketball purist or just a fan of college basketball in general, then you have to tune in to the battle tonight between Northern Iowa and Wichita State. I mentioned on Sunday how good both of these teams were playing and what a great game this would be tonight. Call me a broken record if you want, but I’m still preaching the same message again today.

College Basketball Record:
53-48-4 ATS

Wichita State (-3) covers vs. Northern Iowa
Simply put, for the Shockers, losing at home is just something that doesn’t happen often. In fact, they are 11-0 at home this season. Part of the reason is they pack out Charles Koch Arena to the tune of just over 10,000 seats every night. How many mid-major programs can say that? For most MVC schools, there is just simply not the funding. The Shockers fly on private jets to road games, the coaches use the private jets for recruiting trips, and they buy games instead of having to be bought for non-conference games. Head coach Greg Marshall admits that he has “no excuses” if the team doesn’t win. I tend to agree, even in the tough MVC.

For tonight, Northern Iowa comes into town, bringing its 16-1 overall record and 7-0 MVC record with them. The Panthers are ranked 20th in the AP Poll and 22nd in the USA Today Poll. What sets them apart from most teams is their size, with 7’0 center Jordan Eglseder and 6’8 forward Adam Koch. For the Shockers, they are led by guard Toure’ Murry but, like the Panthers, have a very balanced scoring attack. If this game were on a neutral floor, I would lean UNI but this crowd will be roaring and that will make the difference tonight for the Shockers.

*****

Monday January 18, 2010:
Last week ended on a high note, with a 3-2 Saturday that was oh-so-close to being 4-1. Washington State was a 6-point favorite and held a 46-26 lead at halftime, but Stanford wouldn’t go away and snuck in for the backdoor cover. It was very surprising watching the Cougars lead continue to shrink throughout the second half. Anyways, for tonight I have just one play but it is a good one. Enjoy!

College Basketball Record:
53-47-4 ATS

Virginia (-17) covers vs. UNC-Wilmington
These are two teams moving in opposite directions, as the Cavs have won 7 in row while the Seahawks have dropped 6 of their last 8. UNCW is just 2-5 in CAA play and just 2-5 on the road this season, while Virginia is 3-0 in ACC play and 9-1 at home. As long as there is no letdown, the Cavaliers should destroy the Seahawks tonight.

Daily Dose of Hoops: January 13-17

Wednesday, January 13th, 2010

By Ron Jumper

Sunday January 17, 2010:
For today, I thought I would examine the current landscape of college basketball as we dip our feet into conference play. I will have another edition of Jumpology coming soon, so look at this as a precursor to that. This is a pivotal time handicapping as well, as the non-conference slate is over and there is nowhere for frauds to hide. It always happens where a mediocre team goes 13-1 or 12-2 in the non-conference, pops in the polls, but falls flat on their face once conference play begins. We’ll look at that plus some hot mid-major teams to keep an eye on.

College Basketball Record:
53-47-4 ATS

Frauds:

Texas Tech Red Raiders (12-5 overall, 0-3 Big 12)
The 12-2 start inspired a sense of confidence in the Red Raider basketball team, however they have fallen flat on their face in Big 12 play. So much so that they were 21 point dogs against Kansas and failed to cover, losing 89-63. At first glance, all those points seemed like great value. I hope you didn’t get lured in.

Miami Hurricanes (15-3 overall, 1-3 ACC)
The Hurricanes were 14-0 in the non-conference and were thought to have reloaded for this season. However, they have lost their last 2 games in embarrassing fashion to Virginia Tech (81-66) and Virginia (75-57). Despite the ACC not being as tough as usual, the Hurricanes have been unimpressive to say the least.

The Entire Pac-10 Conference
This conference is a mess right now, as I truly don’t know who would be a lock for the NCAA tournament if this were Selection Sunday. Coming in, Cal was thought to be the best team but they lost to all the high caliber teams they faced in the non-conference: Kansas, Syracuse, Ohio State, and New Mexico. Within conference play, it is a cluster where every team is hovering around .500 or so. The top place team, Arizona State, is 4-2 while there is a four-way tie for last place at 2-3. At this rate, due to a lack of quality non-conference wins by the conference as a whole, determining at-large bids could be a headache. It reminds me of the SEC last year, as no one had enough signature wins outside of SEC play to feel safe getting in even if they had 9 or 10 wins in conference play.

 

Mid-Majors To Watch:

BYU Cougars (18-1 overall, 3-0 MWC)
More importantly, they have a 9-6 ATS record to boost. In their last game against Colorado State, they not only covered the 18-point spread but they cruised to a 44-point trouncing of the Rams. This bodes well for backers, however keep an eye on these lines inflating as the public becomes more and more aware of how well this team is playing. Once that happens, the oddsmakers will allocate more time to making a sharper line.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (17-2 overall, 5-0 WAC)
While the football program has been getting more attention lately, as Derek Dooley just took the Tennessee head coaching job, this is a very good mid-major club. Now, are they a team that should be ranked in the top 25 and a threat to be a bracket buster in March? Probably not. However, are they by far the best team in a bad Western Athletic Conference? Without question. With that in mind, they currently have a 9-4 ATS mark so far this season. This team does have some talent, with the inside-outside combo of guard Kyle Gibson and 6-11 LSU-transfer Magnum Rolle inside so I don’t think they would be an easy out for anyone. They are currently riding a 10-game winning streak overall.

Northern Iowa Panthers (16-1 overall, 7-0 MVC)
To be 7-0 in the Missouri Valley says it all, but you know I’ve got to ramble on more than that. I would feel remiss not mentioning their wins over Boston College, Iowa, Iowa State, and Sienna in the non-conference, as well as big MVC wins on the road at Creighton, Southern Illinois, and Illinois State. The Panthers have a huge game at Wichita State this Tuesday, as the Shockers are the clear-cut second best team in the conference right now. Also, Charles Koch Arena is one of the hidden gems in all of college basketball, giving Wichita State a huge home-court advantage. In fact, the Shockers are 11-0 thus far this season. Either the Panthers perfect conference record or the Shockers perfect home record will come to an end Tuesday night. If UNI can prevail, they will have a leg up on the rest of the MVC in the standings because the tops teams will have to come to there place in the back half of MVC play.

*****

Saturday January 16, 2010:
I’m keeping this one short and sweet, here are my five top plays for Saturday in college basketball. Enjoy!

Dayton +7
Pitt –2.5
Washington State –6
South Carolina +1
Southern Miss +12.5

*****

Friday January 15, 2010:
I finished with winning 2-1 ATS night Thursday night, with it almost being a perfect 3-0 sweep before Auburn decided to mail in the second half. The Tigers held a double-digit lead at times in the first half and trailed by just one at half time but ended up losing 81-55. Chattanooga held on for the win at home to make it 11 straight over The Citadel and UW-Green Bay extended their Horizon League play home winning streak to 15 games. For tonight, with it being Friday, I have just one play. Enjoy!

College Basketball Record:
50-44-4 ATS

Northern Colorado (-2) covers vs. Portland State
The Bears stand at 15-3 overall while the Vikings are just 7-9. Granted, PSU has a perfect 5-0 record at home but I’m taking Northern Colorado to survive and move on in this one. The Vikings are just 2-5 in their last 7 and I’m expecting their poor play to continue.

*****

Thursday January 14, 2010:
Last night was a disappointing 2-2 night, with George Mason winning but not covering and Nevada losing a close one in overtime. Virginia Tech won easy and Tulsa covered but made me sweat it out until the final buzzer. All in all, it was nothing to complain about. For tonight, I’ve got three plays ready to go that I feel great about. Enjoy!

College Basketball Record:
48-43-4 ATS

Auburn (+15) covers vs. Tennessee
The Tigers catch the Vols in a classic letdown spot, after Tennessee shocked then number 1 Kansas. Auburn is not as talented as the Vols, but I expect their scrappy, aggressive style to keep them in this game and give them a shot against a Vols team that has been reading its press clippings the last few days.

Chattanooga (-1.5) covers vs. The Citadel
The Mocs have won 10 in a row against the Citadel and own the all-time series with a 52-13 edge. Considering this is a home game for the Mocs in McKenzie Arena and they have the better overall record, I’m siding with them in this one.

Wisconsin-Green Bay (+5) covers vs. Wright State
The Phoenix have a 14-game winning streak within Horizon League play at home in the Resch Center, yet they are the underdogs tonight. Also, WGB is 14-4 at home against Wright State all-time. Both teams have identical 11-6 overall records and 4-2 Horizon League records. I’m taking the points and wouldn’t be surprised if the dog got a straight up win in this one.

 *****

Wednesday January 13, 2010:
All right, all right…

I know it has been awhile since I’ve posted the Daily Dose of Hoops…

Back off, folks!

I’ve been out of the country on vacation, traveling around London and Paris. I posted Bowl Picks before I left that so there were picks available on the website for much of my absence (cashed in a 5-0 ATS run on the BCS Bowls) and I took time to post Wildcard Playoff picks (though they only went 1-3). None the less, it is time to start focusing on basketball now that college football is officially over and the NFL will soon follow suit. For tonight, I’ve got a nice four-pack of plays to cash in on. I hope you enjoy them!

College Basketball Record:
46-41-4

Virginia Tech (-3) covers vs. Miami
The Hokies are a very solid club, especially at home (7-0). I am not sold that Miami is the real deal just yet, even at 15-1 overall. The Hurricanes are just 1-1 in ACC play thus far. Expect Virginia Tech to get a solid win at home tonight.

George Mason (-7.5) covers vs. Georgia State
The Patriots are 7-1 at home and the Panthers are 1-5 on the road, which side would you rather be on? I’m taking Jim Larranaga and George Mason at home here. Now that CAA play has begun, I expect GM to get things going in the right direction. It starts tonight.

Tulsa (-5.5) covers vs. SMU
The Golden Hurricanes are the superior team in this matchup, not only with the better overall record and talent level, but with the size mismatch they create. The Mustangs will have no answer inside against seven-footer Jerome Jordan, as they are not a great rebounding team to begin with. From there, things will fall into place for Tulsa.

Nevada (-3) covers vs. Utah State
Both teams are similar in that they are dominant at home but suspect on the road. Well this game is in Reno, so I’m taking the Wolfpack and their 8-0 home record. Expect a great night from Luke Babbit inside.



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