By Ron Jumper
So last week was pretty rough, nothing like getting off to a bad start. I really couldn’t even be mad, I went into the week feeling so good about those picks and for them to lose like that way very surprising. There really weren’t any “bad beats” or any poor luck, that day my picks just weren’t good. What makes sports betting so tough is that you consistently go 1-0 or 2-1 and build a good record then one awful day ruins several good days. Take the NFL preseason, I had a 0-3 ATS day and went 11-7-1 ATS the rest of the time to bring my record to 11-10-1 ATS overall. That first Saturday of college football will bring down my record the same way for the next few weeks but I’ll eventually fight back and emerge victorious like I always do. I’ve got my fingers crossed for a better week 2 (I’ll also have week 1 NFL picks posted soon as well). Wish me luck!
Overall Record: 13-16-1 ATS
NFL Preseason Record: 11-10-1 ATS
College Football Record: 2-6-1 ATS
*Risk $55 to win $50 on ALL Wagers
Central Michigan (+8) covers vs. Temple
I like all the intangibles that factor into this matchup. Temple survived last week in an emotional last second win over their rival Villanova, who is no joke despite being an FCS school. I like the Owls to have a slight letdown here and not take the Chippewas as seriously as they should. Tactically, CMU was able to keep it vanilla against Hampton in their opener while Temple had to show everything they had in order to win their opener. Lastly, the line here offers great value. Many times, Temple plays in close games decided by field goals instead of touchdowns so this large of a spread makes me like the points. Take Central Michigan.
Mississippi State (+2) covers vs. Auburn
The Bulldogs are better than people think right now and this will be their coming out party. Memphis is not a good team but neither is Arkansas State and I would have to say MSU looked better than Auburn during the opening weekend. Now, Auburn travels to Starkville and I think this is a tough spot for them. Cameron Newton was all-world in the opener but I want to see how he fares on the road against an SEC team. I like what Dan Mullen is doing right now on offense, as the quarterback duo of Tyler Russell and Chris Relf is very hard to prepare for. I like a small upset tonight. Take Mississippi State.
South Carolina (-2.5) covers vs. Georgia
This line is moving fast and, if you have to, buy points or take the ML. I love the Gamecocks here for several reasons. First, they always start the year off playing well. Second, A.J. Green is not playing. Third, the game is in Columbia. Lastly, while Aaron Murray looked good at home last week against a bad Sun Belt team, it will be a whole different story on the road. Take South Carolina.
Alabama (-11) covers vs. Penn State
The Nittany Lions just aren’t very good this season and this game will make that abundantly clear. They have issues everywhere but running back and linebacker. Even without Mark Ingram, the Tide will roll to an easy victory in this one. They will harass inexperienced quarterback Robert Bolden and force him into mistakes. I like Alabama by a large margin in this matchup.
Texas Tech (-24) covers vs. New Mexico
The Red Raiders are the far superior team here, as the Lobos are a mess right now. They lost 72-0 nothing last week against Oregon. As for Texas Tech, I like for them to get the offense rolling here and not look back. I also think the defense will be better than we have seen in years past, which is due to Tommy Tuberville. I like Texas Tech to win easy and for New Mexico to continue to struggle.
UCLA (+6) covers vs. Stanford
I’m not sold Stanford is as good as everyone else seems to think, including Andrew Luck. I think this is a HUGE game for UCLA. They really need a win here and I wouldn’t be surprised if they not only covered but won straight up. While Kevin Prince is no superstar, his 9-26 passing numbers are misleading. The Bruins dropped 8 passes. I doubt this experienced Bruins receiving unit drops that many again this week at home. I like for UCLA to bounce back and potentially even win this game straight up.