Saturday March 13, 2010:
OFF
At this point, not a lot of value on the board. When teams are fighting for their lives on neutral courts, deciding who wants it more and how much to factor in how they played the day before can a tough order. Take San Diego State for example, they shot 62.5% from 3-point range last night against New Mexico so are they on a hot streak or will that percentage balance out tonight against UNLV? Also, the Aztecs needed one more big win to feel safe that they are in the dance, so will they exhale now that they are in or will they still be motivated to play tonight in the MWC Championship? Throw in UNLV shot lights out in an upset win over BYU, and this is a game you certainly want to stay away from.
*****
Friday March 12, 2010:
Last night was a wash at 2-2, with none of the games being close. I was either really right (Tulsa by 16 and New Mexico State by 21) or really wrong (Wake Forest lost by 21 and Oklahoma State lost by 19). For tonight, I’ve got just one play I really like. Enjoy!
New Mexico (-2.5) covers vs. San Diego State
Simply put, I feel like the Lobos are the better team and they have been playing great basketball this season. They’ve won 15 games in a row and have a perfect 12-0 record this season in games decided by 6 points or less. With this expected to be a close game, I like my chances here.
*****
Thursday March 11, 2010:
Took yesterday off, not much out there I liked. However, I’ve got three plays today I like, including an upset special. Enjoy!
College Basketball Record:
98-83-7
Wake Forest (-4) covers vs. Miami
The Demon Deacons are a really good team and this game matters to them to stay off the bubble.
Oklahoma State (+4.5) covers vs. Kansas State
Upset Special! Cowboys have been hot, Wildcats have not.
New Mexico State (-5) covers vs. San Jose State
This is a mismatch, Aggies are the far superior team.
**ADDED PLAY: Tulsa (-1.5)
*****
Wednesday March 10, 2010:
OFF
College Basketball Record:
98-83-7
*****
Tuesday March 9, 2010:
It was a solid 2-1-1 ATS run yesterday, with an odd beatdown by the Gaels of St. Mary’s over Gonzaga. For tonight, I’ve got just one play that I like. Enjoy!
College Basketball Record:
97-83-7 ATS
St. Joseph’s (+13.5) covers vs. Rhode Island
Just a couple of weeks ago, the Rams of Rhode Island seemed like a lock for the dance. They had a superb overall record and sizzling RPI to match. However a few bad losses, including an embarrassing loss to UMass to the end the regular season has them on the outside looking in. That tends to happen when you finish up 2-5 down the stretch of the regular season. For tonight, the Rams have been playing poorly as I mentioned while the Hawks had to fight and scrap to win their last two regular season games just to make it into the A10 tourney. The difference in the sense of urgency between these teams is the difference tonight. I like a close game tonight that just might be an upset.
*****
Monday March 8, 2010:
It was a strong week last week, going 7-4 ATS over that stretch. For tonight, I’ve got 4 solid mid-major plays that I’m looking at. Enjoy!
College Basketball Record:
95-82-6 ATS
Troy (+5)
Gonzaga (-4)
Appalachian State (+5)
North Texas (-1)
*****
Saturday March 6, 2010:
Texas A&M (-3.5)
Villanova (-3)
Maryland (-4.5)
Oklahoma State (-12)
Purdue (-5.5)
Colorado (-4.5)
*****
Friday March 5, 2010:
I’m enjoying the start of conference tournaments, allowing there to be much more action on this Friday than a typical Friday during the regular season. For tonight, I’ve got three plays that all involve mid-major clubs. Enjoy!
College Basketball Record:
89-79-6 ATS
Harvard (-7.5) covers vs. Penn
Harvard is 20-6 and Penn is 5-20, what does that lead you to believe? I’m thinking this has blowout written all over it.
Citadel (-2.5) covers vs. Samford
Hard to believe that this season I can say with confidence that Citadel is superior to an opponent, but that is the case. Don’t let their reputation fool you.
Wichita State (-2) covers vs. Missouri State
At one time, Missouri State was playing great basketball but that hasn’t been the case in MVC play. I like Wichita State to take care of business here, as they still have postseason aspirations.
*****
Wednesday March 3, 2010:
It has been a busy time for yours truly as of late, none the less I have got the Daily Dose of Hoops back rolling again. Sorry for the week off, but I’ve got a really good one tonight that I think you will like. Enjoy!
College Basketball Record:
88-78-6 ATS
Wake Forest (+7.5) covers vs. Florida State
The Demon Deacons have lost three in a row and this is a must-win game for them to stay on the bubble. They may not win straight up, but I expect them to compete and for their size to match up well with the Seminoles.
Kansas State (+9.5) covers vs. Kansas
This is a rivalry game and the Wildcats are one of the best teams in the country. On the other side, Kansas just lost and I like the timing here for Kansas to possibly lose two in a row. I could see Kansas State getting that signature win here that propels them onto the national spotlight. For now, I’d like to profit from an inflated line.